David Beattie

11/01/2012 Author: David Beattie

Editor's view: 11 January 2012

Continued performance uncertainty and wide-ranging hedge fund-focused legislation will likely provide key pointers in 2012, as the industry faces up to the reality of stabilisation attempts by global governments attempting to calm the markets and allay fears of economic meldown.

In this, the first edition of the year and my first as editor, HFMWeek looks at what trends the industry expects in the coming 12 months.

For some there is a belief that a “focused, cautious optimism” is set to return, but this is tempered somewhat by the fact that, while interest rates largely remain low around the world, markets continue to be driven by macro and political events rather than fundamentals.

Our 2012 predictions feature on p17 reveals a concern that in the future it will be difficult for hedge fund managers to match the returns of the past, and also that the extreme volatility seen in 2011 has caused some managers to rethink their strategies and reduce their appetite for risk.

This year’s winners are likely to include large established funds or high-profile launches, HFMWeek was told, while the mortality rate of small- and medium-sized funds is bound to increase as the full thrust of upcoming legislation and investor preference is felt.

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