Gwyn Roberts

18/03/2010 Author: Gwyn Roberts

Editor's view: 18 March 2010

Inexorably sliding down the graph paper, like Alice in her rabbit hole, the sustained collapse of equity markets hit something solid just over a year ago. Since then, the climb back has been equally sustained, producing stellar returns for equity-focused strategies over the course of 2009.

Nothing is certain about 2010 – disappointing growth and shaky projections may even augur a double-dip – but it is clear that equity strategies have made a good start to the year. To prolong this vein though, funds must resist the temptations of the past and not revert to the ‘long-only in disguise’ strategies that so damaged the industry in 2008.
After a year of plenty, the funds that HFMWeek spoke to this week are avoiding this temptation. Concentrating on careful stock-picking, or recalibrating funds to take account of more volatility, mangers seem to be preparing for heavier weather, as they conservatively change net exposure, going long in large caps, or ponder the launch of new market neutral vehicles.

In a week of anniversaries – not only the equity rally, but also the arrival of the first internet address, presaging the boom, then bust, of dotcom start-ups – it’s worth pointing out that HFMWeek’s own campaign against the draft AIFM Directive is approaching its first birthday. A date rather tarnished by the well-covered return of draconian marketing stipulations.

Still, the campaign continues, and we have been encouraged this week by the doubling of UK Treasury efforts – although these have rather been derailed by European criticism of Britain’s deficit – and the written expression of concern by US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner.

American involvement hardly represents a cavalry charge, but, after a period of fairly low-key and ineffectual behind-the-scenes lobbying, it is good to know that the White House is willing to step up the pressure. And justifiably so. If the EU’s draft goes through in its current form we will all be living in the sort of topsy-turvy Carrollian world where European pensions will struggle to access the best performing US funds.

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