Gwyn Roberts

23/06/2010 Author: Gwyn Roberts

Editor's View: 24 June 2010

Unseasonable storms created a foreboding backdrop to this year’s Gaim Conference. Following the direct lightning strike of May’s jagged-edged markets, managers must have been hoping for some respite. Instead they were hit by blinding downpours and mixed news about the future.

Conferences, isolated bubbles from the real world, are notorious for inflammatory statements, but this year seemed particularly iconoclastic and contradictory. Diverging opinions about the ongoing viability of the Euro – dead, saved and all points in between – fought for space alongside predictions for a period of disastrous performance, or, conversely, a rather better than average one.

Oddly, while the majority of managers did appear to speculate that the latter half of 2010 could presage a return to collapse and massive deleveraging, investors appeared to be a little more chipper. Actively talking up opportunities in the space, poised to allocate – and seemingly better informed about what a hedge fund can do for a portfolio.

BlueCrest’s president, Leda Braga, summed this up best on the conference’s opening day, “we’re here to monitor risk and carry on taking it,” she said. And investors are getting this point. The shellshock suffered when stellar returns were blunted in 2008 has eased, replaced by a hawkish reliance on operational due diligence, but also a growing realisation of the usefulness of the sector.

This twin track of investor sentiment was frequently expressed in Monaco, but is also exemplified by the work of HFMWeek’s own journalists. This week, we have discovered the existence of ‘blacklists’ of hedge fund board members; those deemed inadequate when it comes to representing investor interests. Mercer has also told us that it is seeing record enquiries for hedge fund education.

Against storm clouds, this latter snippet is a ray of sunshine. Managers face a challenging year and clearly will have to trade carefully, as well as work a little bit harder for their money. However, with investor interest definitely massing, 2010 could still be a year of growth.

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